Models
Validated · NY + TX
calibrated · no protected attr
Post-acute placement
0.78 AUROC
fair-ranking · monitor
Prolonged LOS ≥10d
0.75 AUROC
fair
In-hospital mortality
0.83 AUROC
fair
Census now
9
active patients
Anticipated discharges · 24h
3 / 6 by 48h
beds freeing — plan intake
Need coordination
8
≥1 anticipated resource need
Resource asks · 72h
12
line these up now
Resource demand vs capacity
capacity = configurable| Resource | Today | +1 day | +2 days | +3 days | 72h total | Today vs capacity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case Manager | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 / 8assumed cap/day |
| Rehab Coordinator | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 / 6assumed cap/day |
| Utilization-Review Nurse | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 / 10assumed cap/day |
By patient — ranked by placement probability
| # | Patient | Exp LOS | Placement need | Risk | Anticipated resources · when to engage | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NY0377 Ortho · Psych |
9d day 8 · home ~2d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· now |
||
| 2 | NY0388 Telemetry · Medicine |
6d day 7 · home ~1d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· nowUtilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· nowCaseDME / equipment· now |
||
| 3 | NY0392 6 Tower · Medicine |
6d day 7 · home ~1d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· now |
||
| 4 | NY0385 5 East · Neuro |
4d day 4 · home ~2d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· in 1dCaseDME / equipment· in 1d |
||
| 5 | NY0396 4 West · Medicine |
7d day 7 · home ~2d |
— | RehabPT/OT clearance· in 1dCaseDME / equipment· in 1d |
||
| 6 | NY0391 5 East · Psych |
9d day 6 · home ~4d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· in 2d |
||
| 7 | NY0397 5 East · Medicine |
4d day 1 · home ~4d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· in 2d |
||
| 8 | NY0399 ICU · Cardiology |
3d day 1 · home ~4d |
— | Utilization-ReviewInsurance prior-auth· in 2d |
Calibrated models (AUROC 0.75–0.86) · day-0 features only · resource routing is rule-derived · capacity is a placeholder · no PHI · full validation →